Match Analysis

CagliarivsBologna

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
37%
15%
Cagliari winDrawBologna win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.60
1.03Avg goals scored0.99
0.55Avg goals conceded1.15
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Cagliari xG

Expected goals

0.4

Bologna xG

20%

Both Teams to Score

14%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

27%

1–0

25%

0–1

11%

2–0

11%

1–1

10%

2–1

4%

Home

Cagliari

Cagliari

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Bologna

Bologna

DDLDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.1

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cagliari vs Bologna?

Cagliari is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cagliari's current form?

Cagliari have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (27% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 20%. Over 2.5 goals: 14%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cagliari Win48%
Draw37%
Bologna Win15%
BTTS20%
Over 2.514%