Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Cagliari xG
Expected goals
1.2
Internazionale xG
53%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
1–0
10%
0–1
9%
2–1
9%
0–0
7%
1–2
7%
Home
Cagliari
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.1 / 0.5
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Internazionale
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
3.3 / 1.7
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Cagliari vs Internazionale?
Internazionale is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Cagliari's current form?
Cagliari have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Cagliari won 0, drew 1, and Internazionale won 5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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