Cagliari vs Internazionale
🇮🇹 Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Cagliari xG
Expected goals
2.9
Internazionale xG
73%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
8%
1–3
7%
2–2
6%
2–3
6%
0–2
5%
0–3
5%
Home
Cagliari
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.3
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Internazionale
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
2.6 / 1.3
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Cagliari vs Internazionale?
Internazionale is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Cagliari's current form?
Cagliari have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Cagliari won 0, drew 1, and Internazionale won 5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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