Match Analysis

Cagliari vs Lecce

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
26%
18%
Cagliari winDrawLecce win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.20
1.13Avg goals scored1.34
0.56Avg goals conceded1.73
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Cagliari xG

Expected goals

0.5

Lecce xG

31%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

20%

20

16%

00

12%

11

10%

21

8%

30

8%

Home

Cagliari

Cagliari

WWLLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Lecce

Lecce

WLLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Cagliariall timeLecce
2W
2D
2W
16 Feb 26
Cagliari02Lecce
19 Sep 25
Lecce12Cagliari
19 Jan 25
Cagliari41Lecce
31 Aug 24
Lecce10Cagliari
5 May 24
Cagliari11Lecce
6 Jan 24
Lecce11Cagliari

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cagliari vs Lecce?

Cagliari is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cagliari's current form?

Cagliari have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Cagliari won 2, drew 2, and Lecce won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Cagliari Win56%
Draw26%
Lecce Win18%
BTTS31%
Over 2.535%

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