Match Analysis

ComovsLecce

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

62%
21%
17%
Como winDrawLecce win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game0.80
1.53Avg goals scored1.08
0.87Avg goals conceded2.05
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Como xG

Expected goals

1

Lecce xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Como

Como

LWWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Lecce

Lecce

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Como vs Lecce?

Como is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Como's current form?

Como have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Como Win62%
Draw21%
Lecce Win17%
BTTS55%
Over 2.560%