Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Como xG
Expected goals
0.3
Parma xG
24%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
19%
3–0
16%
1–0
15%
4–0
10%
0–0
6%
2–1
6%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $159K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Como
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.5 / 0.9
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Parma
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.4 / 1.2
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Como vs Parma?
Como is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Como's current form?
Como have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Como won 2, drew 2, and Parma won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (19% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 24%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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