Match Analysis

FiorentinavsCagliari

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

11%
23%
66%
Fiorentina winDrawCagliari win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
1.18Avg goals scored1.03
2.37Avg goals conceded0.55
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Fiorentina xG

Expected goals

1.7

Cagliari xG

32%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

19%

0–2

16%

0–0

11%

0–3

9%

1–1

9%

1–2

8%

Home

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

DLDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Cagliari

Cagliari

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fiorentina vs Cagliari?

Cagliari is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fiorentina's current form?

Fiorentina have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (19% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fiorentina Win11%
Draw23%
Cagliari Win66%
BTTS32%
Over 2.538%