Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Fiorentina xG
Expected goals
3.1
Frosinone xG
64%
Both Teams to Score
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
8%
1–3
8%
0–2
7%
0–3
7%
0–4
6%
1–4
6%
Home
Fiorentina
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.4 / 2.6
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Frosinone
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
Frosinone is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fiorentina's current form?
Fiorentina have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Serie A meetings, Fiorentina won 1, drew 1, and Frosinone won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
More from Serie A