Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Fiorentina xG
Expected goals
2.5
Napoli xG
67%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
9%
1–3
8%
0–2
7%
1–1
7%
0–1
6%
0–3
6%
Home
Fiorentina
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.4 / 2.6
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Napoli
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Fiorentina vs Napoli?
Napoli is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fiorentina's current form?
Fiorentina have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Fiorentina won 1, drew 1, and Napoli won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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