Fiorentina vs Napoli
🇮🇹 Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Fiorentina xG
Expected goals
1.1
Napoli xG
30%
Both Teams to Score
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
20%
0–0
18%
1–1
12%
0–2
11%
1–0
11%
1–2
7%
Home
Fiorentina
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.8 / 0.8
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Napoli
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.6 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Fiorentina vs Napoli?
Napoli is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fiorentina's current form?
Fiorentina have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Fiorentina won 1, drew 1, and Napoli won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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