Match Analysis

FrosinonevsLazio

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
19%
53%
Frosinone winDrawLazio win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.60
2.37Avg goals scored2.85
2.01Avg goals conceded0.89
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Frosinone xG

Expected goals

2.5

Lazio xG

77%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

1–3

6%

2–3

6%

2–1

5%

Home

Frosinone

Frosinone

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.4 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Lazio

Lazio

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.9 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Frosinone vs Lazio?

Lazio is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Frosinone's current form?

Frosinone have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Frosinone Win28%
Draw19%
Lazio Win53%
BTTS77%
Over 2.580%