Match Analysis

FrosinonevsLecce

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

69%
15%
16%
Frosinone winDrawLecce win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.80
2.84Avg goals scored1.12
1.83Avg goals conceded2.27
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3

Frosinone xG

Expected goals

1.5

Lecce xG

74%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

7%

3–1

7%

2–2

6%

3–2

6%

4–1

6%

1–1

5%

Home

Frosinone

Frosinone

DDWLW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.8 / 1.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Lecce

Lecce

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Frosinone vs Lecce?

Frosinone is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Frosinone's current form?

Frosinone have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Frosinone Win69%
Draw15%
Lecce Win16%
BTTS74%
Over 2.583%