Genoa vs Como
🇮🇹 Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.3
Genoa xG
Expected goals
1.8
Como xG
22%
Both Teams to Score
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
22%
0–2
20%
0–0
12%
0–3
12%
1–1
7%
1–2
6%
Home
Genoa
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.1
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Como
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.7
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Genoa vs Como?
Como is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Genoa's current form?
Genoa have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Genoa won 0, drew 2, and Como won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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