Match Analysis

Genoa vs Como

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

4%
27%
69%
Genoa winDrawComo win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game2.60
0.07Avg goals scored1.66
1.37Avg goals conceded0.87
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Genoa xG

Expected goals

1.8

Como xG

22%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

01

22%

02

20%

00

12%

03

12%

11

7%

12

6%

Home

Genoa

Genoa

LLWLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.1 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Como

Como

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Genoaall timeComo
2D
2W
26 Apr 26
Genoa02Como
15 Sep 25
Como11Genoa
27 Apr 25
Como10Genoa
7 Nov 24
Genoa11Como

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Genoa vs Como?

Como is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Genoa's current form?

Genoa have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Genoa won 0, drew 2, and Como won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Genoa Win4%
Draw27%
Como Win69%
BTTS22%
Over 2.535%

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