Match Analysis

GenoavsFiorentina

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
23%
32%
Genoa winDrawFiorentina win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.01Avg goals scored1.23
1.73Avg goals conceded2.18
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Genoa xG

Expected goals

1.5

Fiorentina xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–0

7%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Genoa

Genoa

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Genoa vs Fiorentina?

Genoa is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Genoa's current form?

Genoa have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Genoa Win45%
Draw23%
Fiorentina Win32%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%