Match Analysis

GenoavsMonza

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
23%
28%
Genoa winDrawMonza win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.60
1.16Avg goals scored1.47
1.27Avg goals conceded2.17
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Genoa xG

Expected goals

1.4

Monza xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–0

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

2–2

7%

Home

Genoa

Genoa

LWWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Monza

Monza

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Genoa vs Monza?

Genoa is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Genoa's current form?

Genoa have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Genoa Win49%
Draw23%
Monza Win28%
BTTS64%
Over 2.564%