Genoa vs Napoli
🇮🇹 Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.4
Genoa xG
Expected goals
1.4
Napoli xG
25%
Both Teams to Score
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
23%
0–0
17%
0–2
16%
1–1
9%
0–3
8%
1–0
7%
Home
Genoa
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.1
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Napoli
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.6 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Genoa vs Napoli?
Napoli is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Genoa's current form?
Genoa have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Genoa won 0, drew 3, and Napoli won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (23% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Serie A