Match Analysis

Internazionale vs Fiorentina

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

88%
7%
5%
Internazionale winDrawFiorentina win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.60
3.25Avg goals scored0.34
1.06Avg goals conceded2.80
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Internazionale xG

Expected goals

0.3

Fiorentina xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

30

14%

40

14%

50

12%

20

11%

10

5%

31

4%

Home

Internazionale

Internazionale

WDDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

3.3 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

LWDWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.3 / 2.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Internazionaleall timeFiorentina
4W
1D
1W
22 Mar 26
Fiorentina11Internazionale
29 Oct 25
Internazionale30Fiorentina
10 Feb 25
Internazionale21Fiorentina
6 Feb 25
Fiorentina30Internazionale
28 Jan 24
Fiorentina01Internazionale
3 Sep 23
Internazionale40Fiorentina

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Internazionale vs Fiorentina?

Internazionale is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Internazionale's current form?

Internazionale have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Internazionale won 4, drew 1, and Fiorentina won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Internazionale Win88%
Draw7%
Fiorentina Win5%
BTTS25%
Over 2.580%

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