Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.7
Internazionale xG
Expected goals
1.4
Napoli xG
73%
Both Teams to Score
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–1
7%
4–1
7%
2–1
6%
3–0
5%
3–2
5%
4–0
5%
Home
Internazionale
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
2.6 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Napoli
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.7
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Internazionale vs Napoli?
Internazionale is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Internazionale's current form?
Internazionale have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Internazionale won 1, drew 4, and Napoli won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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