Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.4
Internazionale xG
Expected goals
1.2
Napoli xG
64%
Both Teams to Score
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
1–1
8%
2–0
8%
3–1
8%
1–0
7%
2–2
6%
Home
Internazionale
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.6 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Napoli
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Internazionale vs Napoli?
Internazionale is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Internazionale's current form?
Internazionale have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Internazionale won 1, drew 4, and Napoli won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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