Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.4
Internazionale xG
Expected goals
1.2
Udinese xG
68%
Both Teams to Score
84%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–1
8%
2–1
7%
3–0
7%
4–1
7%
2–0
6%
4–0
6%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $2.4M volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Internazionale
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.6 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Udinese
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.6
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Internazionale vs Udinese?
Internazionale is favored with a 80% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Internazionale's current form?
Internazionale have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Internazionale won 5, drew 0, and Udinese won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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