Match Analysis

Internazionale vs Udinese

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

80%
9%
11%
Internazionale winDrawUdinese win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
2.56Avg goals scored1.47
1.15Avg goals conceded1.63
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.4

Internazionale xG

Expected goals

1.2

Udinese xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

31

8%

21

7%

30

7%

41

7%

20

6%

40

6%

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $2.4M volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Internazionale
80%
56%
+24%
Draw
9%
Udinese
11%
44%
-33%
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Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

Internazionale

Internazionale

LWWWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.6 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Udinese

Udinese

LWWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Internazionaleall timeUdinese
5W
1W
17 Jan 26
Udinese01Internazionale
31 Aug 25
Internazionale12Udinese
30 Mar 25
Internazionale21Udinese
28 Sep 24
Udinese23Internazionale
8 Apr 24
Udinese12Internazionale
9 Dec 23
Internazionale40Udinese

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Internazionale vs Udinese?

Internazionale is favored with a 80% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Internazionale's current form?

Internazionale have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Internazionale won 5, drew 0, and Udinese won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Internazionale Win80%
Draw9%
Udinese Win11%
BTTS68%
Over 2.584%

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