Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Juventus xG
Expected goals
0.4
AC Milan xG
21%
Both Teams to Score
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
25%
1–0
25%
2–0
12%
0–1
10%
1–1
10%
2–1
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $92K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Juventus
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.3
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
AC Milan
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.9 / 0.8
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Juventus vs Ac Milan?
Juventus is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Juventus's current form?
Juventus have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Juventus won 2, drew 4, and Ac Milan won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (25% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 21%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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