Match Analysis

Juventus vs Ac Milan

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
43%
12%
Juventus winDrawAC Milan win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.80
1.42Avg goals scored1.92
0.31Avg goals conceded0.81
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Juventus xG

Expected goals

0.4

AC Milan xG

21%

Both Teams to Score

17%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

00

25%

10

25%

20

12%

01

10%

11

10%

21

5%

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $92K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Juventus
45%
46%
FAIR
Draw
43%
AC Milan
12%
54%
-42%
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Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

Juventus

Juventus

WWDLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

AC Milan

AC Milan

WWLWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Juventusall timeAc Milan
2W
4D
26 Apr 26
AC Milan00Juventus
5 Oct 25
Juventus00AC Milan
18 Jan 25
Juventus20AC Milan
23 Nov 24
AC Milan00Juventus
27 Apr 24
Juventus00AC Milan
22 Oct 23
AC Milan01Juventus

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Juventus vs Ac Milan?

Juventus is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Juventus's current form?

Juventus have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Juventus won 2, drew 4, and Ac Milan won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (25% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 21%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Juventus Win45%
Draw43%
AC Milan Win12%
BTTS21%
Over 2.517%

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