Match Analysis

JuventusvsLazio

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

25%
29%
46%
Juventus winDrawLazio win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.20
1.48Avg goals scored2.01
0.90Avg goals conceded0.73
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Juventus xG

Expected goals

1.3

Lazio xG

43%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

14%

1–1

13%

0–0

11%

1–0

10%

0–2

9%

1–2

8%

Home

Juventus

Juventus

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Lazio

Lazio

DWDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Juventus vs Lazio?

Lazio is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Juventus's current form?

Juventus have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Juventus Win25%
Draw29%
Lazio Win46%
BTTS43%
Over 2.538%