Lazio vs Ac Milan
🇮🇹 Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
Lazio xG
Expected goals
1.2
AC Milan xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
2–0
8%
1–2
6%
2–2
6%
Home
Lazio
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
AC Milan
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lazio vs Ac Milan?
Lazio is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lazio's current form?
Lazio have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Lazio won 2, drew 1, and Ac Milan won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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