Match Analysis

LaziovsAS Roma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
34%
44%
Lazio winDrawAS Roma win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.20
2.01Avg goals scored1.98
0.73Avg goals conceded0.39
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Lazio xG

Expected goals

1

AS Roma xG

29%

Both Teams to Score

22%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

20%

0–1

20%

1–0

12%

1–1

12%

0–2

10%

1–2

6%

Home

Lazio

Lazio

DWDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

AS Roma

AS Roma

DLDDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lazio vs AS Roma?

AS Roma is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lazio's current form?

Lazio have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 29%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lazio Win22%
Draw34%
AS Roma Win44%
BTTS29%
Over 2.522%