Match Analysis

LaziovsAtalanta

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

70%
18%
12%
Lazio winDrawAtalanta win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game0.80
2.01Avg goals scored1.46
0.73Avg goals conceded1.36
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Lazio xG

Expected goals

0.7

Atalanta xG

45%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

13%

1–0

12%

3–0

10%

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

3–1

7%

Home

Lazio

Lazio

DWDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Atalanta

Atalanta

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lazio vs Atalanta?

Lazio is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lazio's current form?

Lazio have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lazio Win70%
Draw18%
Atalanta Win12%
BTTS45%
Over 2.555%