Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.7
Lazio xG
Expected goals
0.6
Cagliari xG
23%
Both Teams to Score
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
27%
1–0
19%
0–1
16%
1–1
11%
2–0
7%
0–2
5%
Home
Lazio
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.6 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Cagliari
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.1 / 0.5
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lazio vs Cagliari?
Lazio is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lazio's current form?
Lazio have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Lazio won 5, drew 1, and Cagliari won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (27% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 23%. Over 2.5 goals: 14%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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