Match Analysis

LaziovsGenoa

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

64%
19%
17%
Lazio winDrawGenoa win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.40
2.85Avg goals scored1.04
0.89Avg goals conceded1.17
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Lazio xG

Expected goals

1

Genoa xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Lazio

Lazio

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.9 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Genoa

Genoa

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lazio vs Genoa?

Lazio is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lazio's current form?

Lazio have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lazio Win64%
Draw19%
Genoa Win17%
BTTS56%
Over 2.562%