Match Analysis

LaziovsLecce

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

84%
11%
5%
Lazio winDrawLecce win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game0.80
2.24Avg goals scored1.43
0.56Avg goals conceded1.60
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.8

Lazio xG

Expected goals

0.5

Lecce xG

37%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

14%

3–0

13%

1–0

10%

4–0

9%

2–1

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Lazio

Lazio

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Lecce

Lecce

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lazio vs Lecce?

Lazio is favored with a 84% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lazio's current form?

Lazio have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lazio Win84%
Draw11%
Lecce Win5%
BTTS37%
Over 2.564%