Match Analysis

LaziovsMonza

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

91%
6%
3%
Lazio winDrawMonza win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.40
2.01Avg goals scored1.48
0.73Avg goals conceded2.46
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Lazio xG

Expected goals

0.8

Monza xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

86%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

9%

4–0

9%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

4–1

7%

5–0

7%

Home

Lazio

Lazio

DWDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Monza

Monza

LWLDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lazio vs Monza?

Lazio is favored with a 91% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lazio's current form?

Lazio have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lazio Win91%
Draw6%
Monza Win3%
BTTS54%
Over 2.586%