Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.2
Lazio xG
Expected goals
0.9
Monza xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
9%
2–0
8%
2–1
8%
3–1
8%
4–0
7%
4–1
7%
Home
Lazio
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Monza
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.5 / 3.5
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lazio vs Monza?
Lazio is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lazio's current form?
Lazio have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Lazio won 2, drew 2, and Monza won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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