Match Analysis

LaziovsParma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

88%
9%
3%
Lazio winDrawParma win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.00
2.01Avg goals scored0.68
0.73Avg goals conceded1.81
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.9

Lazio xG

Expected goals

0.3

Parma xG

24%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

17%

3–0

17%

1–0

12%

4–0

12%

5–0

7%

2–1

5%

Home

Lazio

Lazio

DWDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Parma

Parma

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lazio vs Parma?

Lazio is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lazio's current form?

Lazio have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 24%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lazio Win88%
Draw9%
Parma Win3%
BTTS24%
Over 2.562%