Lecce vs As Roma
🇮🇹 Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.7
Lecce xG
Expected goals
2.2
AS Roma xG
45%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
13%
0–1
12%
0–3
10%
1–2
9%
1–1
8%
1–3
7%
Home
Lecce
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
AS Roma
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
2.3 / 0.7
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lecce vs As Roma?
AS Roma is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lecce's current form?
Lecce have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Lecce won 0, drew 1, and As Roma won 5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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