Match Analysis

LeccevsBologna

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
27%
49%
Lecce winDrawBologna win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.60
0.97Avg goals scored0.99
2.07Avg goals conceded1.15
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Lecce xG

Expected goals

1.4

Bologna xG

45%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

14%

1–1

13%

0–0

10%

0–2

10%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

Home

Lecce

Lecce

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Bologna

Bologna

DDLDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.1

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lecce vs Bologna?

Bologna is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lecce's current form?

Lecce have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lecce Win24%
Draw27%
Bologna Win49%
BTTS45%
Over 2.540%