Match Analysis

LeccevsInternazionale

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
20%
56%
Lecce winDrawInternazionale win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.00
1.15Avg goals scored2.80
1.68Avg goals conceded1.17
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Lecce xG

Expected goals

2.2

Internazionale xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

8%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

0–1

6%

2–1

6%

Home

Lecce

Lecce

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Internazionale

Internazionale

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.8 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lecce vs Internazionale?

Internazionale is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lecce's current form?

Lecce have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lecce Win24%
Draw20%
Internazionale Win56%
BTTS67%
Over 2.570%