Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Lecce xG
Expected goals
0.3
Juventus xG
15%
Both Teams to Score
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
30%
1–0
27%
2–0
12%
0–1
9%
1–1
8%
2–1
4%
Home
Lecce
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.4
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Juventus
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.6
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lecce vs Juventus?
Lecce is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lecce's current form?
Lecce have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Lecce won 0, drew 2, and Juventus won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (30% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 15%. Over 2.5 goals: 12%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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