โšก Match Analysis

Lecce vs Monza

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Serie A ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
40%
27%
Lecce winDrawMonza win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.00
0.96Avg goals scored0.00
1.11Avg goals conceded0.00
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)0โ€“0โ€“0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Lecce xG

Expected goals

1.1

Monza xG

45%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

13%

0โ€“1

12%

1โ€“0

12%

0โ€“0

11%

0โ€“2

7%

1โ€“2

7%

Home

Lecce

Lecce

WWLWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

โšฝ

Monza

No data

Head-to-Head ยท Last 4 meetings

Lecceall timeMonza
1W
3D
16 Feb 25
Monza0โ€“0Lecce
15 Dec 24
Lecce2โ€“1Monza
27 Apr 24
Lecce1โ€“1Monza
17 Sep 23
Monza1โ€“1Lecce

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lecce vs Monza?

Lecce is favored with a 33% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lecce's current form?

Lecce have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Lecce won 1, drew 3, and Monza won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 4 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Lecce Win33%
Draw40%
Monza Win27%
BTTS45%
Over 2.538%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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