Match Analysis

LeccevsParma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
25%
36%
Lecce winDrawParma win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.80
1.08Avg goals scored0.92
2.05Avg goals conceded1.52
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Lecce xG

Expected goals

1.4

Parma xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

1–2

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Lecce

Lecce

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Parma

Parma

LWDLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lecce vs Parma?

Lecce is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lecce's current form?

Lecce have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lecce Win39%
Draw25%
Parma Win36%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%