Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.4
Lecce xG
Expected goals
1.8
Sassuolo xG
76%
Both Teams to Score
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
8%
2–2
7%
1–1
6%
1–2
6%
3–1
6%
3–2
6%
Home
Lecce
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Sassuolo
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.7 / 2.1
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lecce vs Sassuolo?
Lecce is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lecce's current form?
Lecce have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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