Match Analysis

LeccevsSassuolo

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
19%
30%
Lecce winDrawSassuolo win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
1.44Avg goals scored1.69
1.60Avg goals conceded2.14
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Lecce xG

Expected goals

1.8

Sassuolo xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

79%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

1–2

6%

3–1

6%

3–2

6%

Home

Lecce

Lecce

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

LDLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lecce vs Sassuolo?

Lecce is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lecce's current form?

Lecce have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lecce Win51%
Draw19%
Sassuolo Win30%
BTTS76%
Over 2.579%