Match Analysis

MonzavsComo

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

18%
20%
62%
Monza winDrawComo win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.47Avg goals scored1.28
2.46Avg goals conceded0.92
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Monza xG

Expected goals

2.2

Como xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

0–2

9%

1–1

9%

0–1

8%

0–3

7%

1–3

7%

Home

Monza

Monza

LWLDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Como

Como

DDLWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Monza vs Como?

Como is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Monza's current form?

Monza have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Monza Win18%
Draw20%
Como Win62%
BTTS59%
Over 2.564%