Match Analysis

MonzavsNapoli

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
20%
50%
Monza winDrawNapoli win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.86Avg goals scored2.11
2.45Avg goals conceded1.27
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Monza xG

Expected goals

2.3

Napoli xG

75%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–1

6%

2–3

5%

Home

Monza

Monza

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.9 / 2.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Napoli

Napoli

DDWLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Monza vs Napoli?

Napoli is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Monza's current form?

Monza have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Monza Win30%
Draw20%
Napoli Win50%
BTTS75%
Over 2.578%