Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Monza xG
Expected goals
3.6
Sassuolo xG
85%
Both Teams to Score
92%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–3
6%
1–2
5%
1–3
5%
1–4
5%
2–2
5%
2–4
5%
Home
Monza
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.5 / 2.7
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Sassuolo
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Monza vs Sassuolo?
Sassuolo is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Monza's current form?
Monza have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Serie A meetings, Monza won 2, drew 0, and Sassuolo won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–3 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 85%. Over 2.5 goals: 92%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
More from Serie A