Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Napoli xG
Expected goals
1.1
AC Milan xG
40%
Both Teams to Score
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
15%
0–0
14%
1–1
13%
1–0
12%
0–2
8%
1–2
7%
Home
Napoli
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.9
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
AC Milan
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.9
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Napoli vs AC Milan?
AC Milan is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Napoli's current form?
Napoli have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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