Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.7
Napoli xG
Expected goals
1.2
AS Roma xG
35%
Both Teams to Score
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
18%
0–0
15%
1–1
13%
0–2
11%
1–0
10%
1–2
8%
Home
Napoli
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.9
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
AS Roma
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 0.5
Last 5
1W 4D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Napoli vs AS Roma?
AS Roma is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Napoli's current form?
Napoli have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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