Match Analysis

NapolivsAS Roma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
30%
48%
Napoli winDrawAS Roma win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
1.78Avg goals scored1.98
0.88Avg goals conceded0.50
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–4–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Napoli xG

Expected goals

1.2

AS Roma xG

35%

Both Teams to Score

30%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

18%

0–0

15%

1–1

13%

0–2

11%

1–0

10%

1–2

8%

Home

Napoli

Napoli

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

AS Roma

AS Roma

DDDWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 4D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Napoli vs AS Roma?

AS Roma is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Napoli's current form?

Napoli have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Napoli Win22%
Draw30%
AS Roma Win48%
BTTS35%
Over 2.530%