Match Analysis

Napoli vs Como

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
32%
36%
Napoli winDrawComo win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.60
1.57Avg goals scored1.66
1.03Avg goals conceded0.87
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Napoli xG

Expected goals

1.4

Como xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

12%

01

10%

10

9%

12

9%

00

7%

02

7%

Home

Napoli

Napoli

LWWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Como

Como

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Napoliall timeComo
1W
2D
1W
2 May 26
Como00Napoli
1 Nov 25
Napoli00Como
23 Feb 25
Como21Napoli
4 Oct 24
Napoli31Como

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Napoli vs Como?

Como is favored with a 36% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Napoli's current form?

Napoli have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Napoli won 1, drew 2, and Como won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Napoli Win32%
Draw32%
Como Win36%
BTTS53%
Over 2.548%

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