Match Analysis

NapolivsFrosinone

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
21%
16%
Napoli winDrawFrosinone win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.78Avg goals scored1.36
0.88Avg goals conceded1.35
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Napoli xG

Expected goals

0.8

Frosinone xG

47%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

2–0

12%

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

3–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Napoli

Napoli

DDWLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Frosinone

Frosinone

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Napoli vs Frosinone?

Napoli is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Napoli's current form?

Napoli have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Napoli Win63%
Draw21%
Frosinone Win16%
BTTS47%
Over 2.551%