Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Napoli xG
Expected goals
0.3
Frosinone xG
21%
Both Teams to Score
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
23%
2–0
20%
0–0
14%
3–0
11%
1–1
7%
2–1
6%
Home
Napoli
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.3
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Frosinone
PPG
2.40
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Napoli vs Frosinone?
Napoli is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Napoli's current form?
Napoli have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Serie A meetings, Napoli won 1, drew 1, and Frosinone won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (23% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 21%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Serie A