Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Napoli xG
Expected goals
1.3
Lazio xG
43%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
14%
1–1
13%
0–0
11%
1–0
10%
0–2
9%
1–2
8%
Home
Napoli
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Lazio
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.6 / 0.8
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Napoli vs Lazio?
Lazio is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Napoli's current form?
Napoli have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Napoli won 1, drew 2, and Lazio won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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