Match Analysis

NapolivsTorino

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
26%
19%
Napoli winDrawTorino win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.00
1.38Avg goals scored1.24
0.91Avg goals conceded1.41
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Napoli xG

Expected goals

0.8

Torino xG

43%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

15%

1–1

12%

2–0

11%

0–0

10%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

Home

Napoli

Napoli

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Torino

Torino

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Napoli vs Torino?

Napoli is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Napoli's current form?

Napoli have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Napoli Win55%
Draw26%
Torino Win19%
BTTS43%
Over 2.540%