Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Parma xG
Expected goals
0.6
Bologna xG
20%
Both Teams to Score
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
30%
0–1
18%
1–0
18%
1–1
11%
0–2
5%
2–0
5%
Home
Parma
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.5
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Away
Bologna
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.3
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Parma vs Bologna?
Parma is favored with a 34% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Parma's current form?
Parma have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Parma won 2, drew 1, and Bologna won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (30% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 20%. Over 2.5 goals: 12%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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