Match Analysis

ParmavsFiorentina

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
25%
46%
Parma winDrawFiorentina win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
0.68Avg goals scored1.23
1.81Avg goals conceded2.18
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Parma xG

Expected goals

1.5

Fiorentina xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Parma

Parma

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Parma vs Fiorentina?

Fiorentina is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Parma's current form?

Parma have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Parma Win29%
Draw25%
Fiorentina Win46%
BTTS54%
Over 2.551%