Match Analysis

ParmavsTorino

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

18%
25%
57%
Parma winDrawTorino win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.00
0.68Avg goals scored1.24
1.81Avg goals conceded1.41
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Parma xG

Expected goals

1.6

Torino xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

15%

0–2

12%

1–1

12%

0–0

9%

1–2

9%

1–0

7%

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $40K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Parma
18%
11%
+7%
Draw
25%
—
—
Torino
57%
89%
-32%
Trade on Polymarket →

Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

Parma

Parma

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Torino

Torino

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Parma vs Torino?

Torino is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Parma's current form?

Parma have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Parma Win18%
Draw25%
Torino Win57%
BTTS44%
Over 2.543%