Match Analysis

Parma vs Udinese

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
17%
59%
Parma winDrawUdinese win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game1.40
0.58Avg goals scored1.97
1.46Avg goals conceded2.62
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Parma xG

Expected goals

1.9

Udinese xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

10%

12

10%

01

9%

02

8%

13

6%

21

6%

Home

Parma

Parma

LDLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.5

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Udinese

Udinese

LLWWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Parmaall timeUdinese
1W
3W
18 Apr 26
Udinese01Parma
29 Nov 25
Parma02Udinese
1 Mar 25
Udinese10Parma
16 Sep 24
Parma23Udinese

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Parma vs Udinese?

Udinese is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Parma's current form?

Parma have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Parma won 1, drew 0, and Udinese won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Parma Win24%
Draw17%
Udinese Win59%
BTTS59%
Over 2.560%