Match Analysis

SassuolovsAC Milan

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

20%
21%
59%
Sassuolo winDrawAC Milan win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.20
1.61Avg goals scored1.78
1.61Avg goals conceded0.85
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Sassuolo xG

Expected goals

2

AC Milan xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–2

9%

1–3

7%

0–3

6%

Home

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

AC Milan

AC Milan

DWLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sassuolo vs AC Milan?

AC Milan is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sassuolo's current form?

Sassuolo have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sassuolo Win20%
Draw21%
AC Milan Win59%
BTTS58%
Over 2.560%