Match Analysis

SassuolovsGenoa

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

65%
18%
17%
Sassuolo winDrawGenoa win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.69Avg goals scored0.78
2.14Avg goals conceded1.79
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Sassuolo xG

Expected goals

1.1

Genoa xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

2–0

9%

1–1

8%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

3–0

7%

Home

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

LDLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Genoa

Genoa

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sassuolo vs Genoa?

Sassuolo is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sassuolo's current form?

Sassuolo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sassuolo Win65%
Draw18%
Genoa Win17%
BTTS61%
Over 2.568%