Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Sassuolo xG
Expected goals
1.8
Lazio xG
61%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
1–2
9%
0–1
8%
0–2
7%
2–1
7%
1–0
6%
Home
Sassuolo
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Lazio
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.6 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sassuolo vs Lazio?
Lazio is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sassuolo's current form?
Sassuolo have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Sassuolo won 1, drew 1, and Lazio won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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